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ITS » Undergraduate Theses » S1 - Statistika Lintas Jalur
Posted by dee@its.ac.id at 05/03/2012 14:40:43  •  1509 Views


PERAMALAN JUMLAH WISATAWAN MANCANEGARA YANG MASUK MELALUI PINTU KEDATANGAN BANDARA SOEKARNO HATTA DAN BANDARA JUANDA

THE NUMBER OF FOREIGN TOURIST FORECAST IN SOEKARNO HATTA AND JUANDA INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT

Author :
RAHMI, INDIRA  ( 1309106008 )




ABSTRAK

Peramalan jumlah kunjungan wisatawan mancanegara yang masuk ke suatu negara sangat dibutuhkan bagi pelaku bisnis pariwisata sehingga memodelkan data jumlah kunjungan wisatawan mancanegara perlu untuk dilakukan. Model intervensi akan digunakan untuk meramalkan jumlah wisatawan man-canegara yang masuk ke Indonesia melalui bandara Soekarno Hatta dan bandara Juanda model ini digunakan karena ada faktor eksternal atau krisis politik Thailand yang mempengaruhi jumlah kunjungan wisatawan mancanegara yang masuk ke Indonesia namun apabila krisis politik Thailand tak memberikan pengaruh terhadap jumlah kunjungan wisatawan maka dalam analisis peramalannya akan digunakan model ARIMA Box-Jenkins. Hasil analisis yang dilakukan menunjukkan bahwa ARIMA Box-Jenkins adalah model yang sesuai untuk data jumlah kunjungan yang masuk melalui bandara Soekarno Hatta dan bandara Juanda


ABSTRACT

The number of visits foreign tourists forecast who enter a country is necessary for tourism businesses so the model number of tourist arrivals data needs to be done. Intervention model will be used to predict the number of foreign tourists who entered in Soekarno Hatta and Juanda airport this model is used because there are external factors that is Thailands political crisis which is affecting the number of tourist arrivals to Indonesia but if Thailands political crisis did not influence on the number of tourists will be used ARIMA Box-Jenkins model. The results of analysis shows that ARIMA Box-jenkins model is the good model for forecast the tourists who entered in Soekarno hatta and Juanda airport.



KeywordsWisatawan Mancanegat; Krisis Thailand; Arima Box-jenkins
 
Subject:  Industri pariwisata
Contributor
  1. Ir Sri Pingit Wulandari M,Si
Date Create: 12/01/2024
Type: Text
Format: pdf
Language: Indonesian
Identifier: ITS-Undergraduate-3100012045985
Collection ID: 3100012045985
Call Number: RSSt 519.535 Rah p


Source
Undergraduate Thesis of Statistics, RSSt 519.535 Rah p, 2012

Coverage
ITS Community

Rights
Copyright @2024 by ITS Library. This publication is protected by copyright and per obtained from the ITS Library prior to any prohibited reproduction, storage in a re transmission in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, reco For information regarding permission(s), write to ITS Library




[ Download - Open Access ]

  1.  ITS-Undergraduate-17925-1309106008-Abstract_id.pdf - 154 KB
  2.  ITS-Undergraduate-17925-1309106008-Abstract_en.pdf - 155 KB
  3.  ITS-Undergraduate-17925-1309106008-Conclusion.pdf - 171 KB
  4.  ITS-Undergraduate-17925-1309106008-Paper.pdf - 645 KB




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