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ITS » Non Degree » Statistika - D3
Posted by aprill@is.its.ac.id at 11/07/2014 22:25:16  •  1174 Views


MODELING OF GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT IN EAST JAVA USING SEEMINGLY UNRELATED REGRESSION METHOD

Author :
DIBRATA, SURYATNA SACA  ( 1310030014 )




ABSTRAK

Produk Domestik Regional Bruto PDRB adalah salah satu indikator utama yang digunakan untuk mengukur kesehatan ekonomi suatu wilayah. PDRB berkaitan dengan neraca nasional subjek dalam makroekonomi. Ini merupakan nilai dolar total semua barang dan jasa menghasilkan selama periode waktu tertentu. Jawa Timur merupakan penyumbang terbesar kedua untuk ekonomi Indonesia dengan tingkat pertumbuhan mirip dengan tingkat nasional dan provinsi besar lainnya di Jawa. Kondisi perekonomian Propinsi Jawa Timur secara keseluruhan sudah stabil sehingga memiliki nilai PDRB yang cukup berkembang pesat dari tahun ke tahun.Seemingly Unrelated Regression SUR merupakan salah satu metode statistika yang digunakan untuk memodelkan persamaan-persamaan yang seolah-olah tidak terdapat hubungan antara satu persamaan dengan persamaan lain. Dalam penelitian ini digunakan metode SUR untuk menduga parameter sekaligus memperoleh model SUR dari PDRB di Jawa Timur. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mendapatkan model PDRB dan menganalisis faktor-faktor yang mempengaruhi PDRB. Hasil analisis diperoleh nilai dalam sistem SUR sebesar 9340. Setelah memenuhi asumsi IIDN independen identik dan berdistribusi normal Faktor yang berpengaruh cukup signifikan terhadap model PDRB adalah pengeluaran belanja modal pengeluaran belanja barang dan jasa dan penanaman modal asing.


ABSTRACT

Gross Domestic Product GDP is one the primary indicators used to gauge the health of a regions economy. GDP is related to national accounts a subject in macroeconomics. It represents the total dollar value of all goods and services produce over a specific time period. East Java is the second largest contributor to Indonesias economic with a growth rate similiar to national level and other major provinces in Java. The condition of economy in East Java Province is categorized as stable condition since it has GDP value developed rapidly year by year. Seemingly Unrelated Regression SUR is one of the statistics methods used for equality modeling between the resemblance of one another as though there is no relationship. This research using SUR method to infer parameter SUR model as well as gain from GDP in East Java. This study aims to obtain a model of GDP in East Java and analyze the factor that influence GDP in east java. The results of analysis obtained in the value of 9340 SUR system. After fulfilled IIDN assumption independent identifical and normal distribution Factors that influence quite significant to the model of GDP is capital expenses good expenses and foreign investment.



KeywordsMetode SUR; Produk Domestik Regional Bruto; R-Square
 
Subject:  Analisis komponen utama
Contributor
  1. Dr. Ir. Setiawan, MS
Date Create: 16/07/2013
Type: Text
Format: pdf
Language: Indonesian
Identifier: ITS-NonDegree-13002140000739
Collection ID: 13002140000739
Call Number: RSSt 519.535 4 Dib p


Source
Non Degree of Statistics RSSt 519.535 4 Dib p, 2014

Coverage
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Rights
Copyright @2014 by ITS Library. This publication is protected by copyright and per obtained from the ITS Library prior to any prohibited reproduction, storage in a re transmission in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, reco For information regarding permission(s), write to ITS Library




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  1.  ITS-NonDegree-30410-1310030014-Abstract_id.pdf - 299 KB
  2.  ITS-NonDegree-30410-1310030014-Abstract_en.pdf - 276 KB
  3.  ITS-NonDegree-30410-1310030014-Conclusion.pdf - 314 KB




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